{"id":52,"date":"2023-03-01T23:06:41","date_gmt":"2023-03-01T15:06:41","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/?p=52"},"modified":"2023-03-01T23:07:48","modified_gmt":"2023-03-01T15:07:48","slug":"%e5%a6%82%e4%bd%95%e9%80%89%e6%8b%a9%e5%90%88%e9%80%82%e7%9a%84%e6%97%b6%e9%97%b4%e5%ba%8f%e5%88%97%e6%a8%a1%e5%9e%8b","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/?p=52","title":{"rendered":"\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u00b9\u00b2\u00b3<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u9700\u8981\u8003\u8651\u4ee5\u4e0b\u51e0\u4e2a\u65b9\u9762\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7279\u5f81\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5e73\u7a33\u6027\u3001\u5b63\u8282\u6027\u3001\u8d8b\u52bf\u6027\u3001\u5468\u671f\u6027\u7b49\u3002\u00b2\u00b3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u7ecf\u5178\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5982AR\u3001MA\u3001ARMA\u3001ARIMA\u7b49\uff09\u3001\u76d1\u7763\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5982\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u3001\u51b3\u7b56\u6811\u3001\u652f\u6301\u5411\u91cf\u673a\u7b49\uff09\u3001\u6df1\u5ea6\u5b66\u4e60\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5982\u5faa\u73af\u795e\u7ecf\u7f51\u7edc\u3001\u957f\u77ed\u671f\u8bb0\u5fc6\u7f51\u7edc\u7b49\uff09\u7b49\u3002\u00b9\u00b2<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u53c2\u6570\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u6ede\u540e\u9636\u6570\u3001\u5dee\u5206\u6b21\u6570\u3001\u5e73\u6ed1\u7cfb\u6570\u7b49\u3002\u00b3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u4f8b\u5982\u5747\u65b9\u8bef\u5dee\uff08MSE\uff09\u3001\u5747\u65b9\u6839\u8bef\u5dee\uff08RMSE\uff09\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u8bef\u5dee\uff08MAE\uff09\u3001\u5e73\u5747\u7edd\u5bf9\u767e\u5206\u6bd4\u8bef\u5dee\uff08MAPE\uff09\u7b49\u3002\u00b9\u00b2<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u5177\u4f53\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u4ee5\u9075\u5faa\u4ee5\u4e0b\u6b65\u9aa4\uff1a<\/p>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5bf9\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u63a2\u7d22\u6027\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u89c2\u5bdf\u5176\u5206\u5e03\u548c\u53d8\u5316\u89c4\u5f8b\uff0c\u5e76\u8fdb\u884c\u5fc5\u8981\u7684\u9884\u5904\u7406\uff0c\u5982\u7f3a\u5931\u503c\u5904\u7406\u3001\u5f02\u5e38\u503c\u5904\u7406\u3001\u5e73\u7a33\u6027\u8f6c\u6362\u7b49\u3002\u00b3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u5176\u6b21\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7279\u5f81\u548c\u76ee\u6807\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u7c7b\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u786e\u5b9a\u5176\u53c2\u6570\u8303\u56f4\u6216\u5019\u9009\u96c6\u5408\u3002\u00b9\u00b2\u00b3<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u518d\u6b21\uff0c\u5c06\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6570\u636e\u5212\u5206\u4e3a\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u548c\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\uff0c\u5e76\u4f7f\u7528\u4ea4\u53c9\u9a8c\u8bc1\u6216\u6eda\u52a8\u7a97\u53e3\u6cd5\u5728\u8bad\u7ec3\u96c6\u4e0a\u8bad\u7ec3\u548c\u8bc4\u4f30\u4e0d\u540c\u53c2\u6570\u7ec4\u5408\u4e0b\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u8bb0\u5f55\u5176\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\u3002\u00b9\u00b2<\/li>\n\n\n\n<li>\u6700\u540e\uff0c\u4ece\u5019\u9009\u96c6\u5408\u4e2d\u9009\u62e9\u8bc4\u4ef7\u6307\u6807\u6700\u4f18\u6216\u6700\u63a5\u8fd1\u6700\u4f18\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u5e76\u5728\u6d4b\u8bd5\u96c6\u4e0a\u8fdb\u884c\u9a8c\u8bc1\u548c\u9884\u6d4b\u3002\u00b9 [^2 ^]<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u4ee5\u4e0a\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u80fd\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u6765\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u3002\u5e0c\u671b\u5bf9\u4f60\u6709\u5e2e\u52a9\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p class=\"wp-block-paragraph\">\u6e90: \u4e0e\u5fc5\u5e94\u7684\u5bf9\u8bdd\uff0c 2023\/3\/1(1) \u5728\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\uff0c\u6a21\u578b\u5982\u4f55\u9009\u62e9\uff1f &#8211; \u77e5\u4e4e. https:\/\/www.zhihu.com\/question\/411641479 \u8bbf\u95ee\u65f6\u95f4 2023\/3\/1.<br>(2) \u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u9884\u6d4b\u4efb\u52a1\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u9009\u62e9\u6700\u5168\u603b\u7ed3 &#8211; \u817e\u8baf\u4e91\u5f00\u53d1\u8005\u793e\u533a-\u817e\u8baf\u4e91. https:\/\/cloud.tencent.com\/developer\/article\/2224173 \u8bbf\u95ee\u65f6\u95f4 2023\/3\/1.<br>(3) \u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217(ARIMA)\u6848\u4f8b\u8d85\u8be6\u7ec6\u8bb2\u89e3 &#8211; \u77e5\u4e4e. https:\/\/zhuanlan.zhihu.com\/p\/465670524 \u8bbf\u95ee\u65f6\u95f4 2023\/3\/1.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>\u9009\u62e9\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65f6\u95f4\u5e8f\u5217\u6a21\u578b\u662f\u4e00\u4e2a\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u95ee\u9898\uff0c\u56e0\u4e3a\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6a21\u578b\u53ef\u80fd\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6570\u636e\u6709\u4e0d\u540c\u7684\u6548\u679c\u3002\u00b9\u00b2\u00b3 \u4e00\u822c\u6765\u8bf4\uff0c\u9009\u62e9\u65f6\u95f4 [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-52","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/users\/2"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcomments&post=52"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":53,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=\/wp\/v2\/posts\/52\/revisions\/53"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fmedia&parent=52"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Fcategories&post=52"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/bh4bqi.cn\/index.php?rest_route=%2Fwp%2Fv2%2Ftags&post=52"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}